A Mouthful of Money


Election day is tomorrow, so my blog will probably be much less political in a few days. Thanks for putting up with my obsession for the last few months.

Moving on… because I like to make bold and possibly embarrassing statements from time to time, I’m now going to predict the outcome of the election.

In my opinion the polls this year are skewed in Obama’s favor by about 7-10 points. There are various reasons for this, but the main one I keep coming back to is that things just haven’t changed that much from 2004. I just don’t believe that the extra voter registrations on the Democratic side will translate into votes.

Using my low estimate of 7 points, I created a map with my adjusted results at http://www.realclearpolitics.com (go there to make your own.) And here it is:

If I’m right, McCain will squeak out a win. If not… well… America survived Jimmy Carter. So, we’ll probably be okay. I hope.

Take the time to inform yourself on the candidates tonight, then get out and vote tomorrow. I wish us all luck that we make the right choice.

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2 Comments

Filed under Election 2008

2 responses to “A Mouthful of Money

  1. Three

    The other thing is how many people will actually turn out to vote. Both sides are pretty rabid, but in the end, the GOP tends to follow through more than the Dems, who are too busy hugging trees, saving spotted owls or simply too high and lazy to go vote.

    My vote won’t matter, since I’m going third-party in protest of each of these useless candidates. But hey, it should be pretty interesting to watch!

  2. Pingback: 5 Important Lessions to Take Into the New Year « Blabs Of Steele

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